The Federal Reserve’s battle against inflation had gone better than expected until it recently got bogged down. Thus, the effort to combat inflation can’t be called a victory just yet. Though the initial predictions for Fed rate cuts for 2024 ranged from three to six, expectations have shifted dramatically with the market now pricing in Read more
Economic Outlook
Raise the Roof: The Housing Market Challenges
Spring home-buying season is here. Amid historically low housing stock, a combination of still-high mortgage rates and home prices continues to put homeownership out of reach for many—especially first-time buyers. Owning a home has many virtues. It creates stability for a family, supports longer-lasting connections in a community, and is a store of wealth for Read more
When Not If: Economic Data and The Fed’s Rate Cut(s)
The Federal Reserve increased rate in 2022 and 2023 as the central bank sought to contain surging inflation. Now, in 2024, with price pressures easing and the economy still strong, Fed officials are poised to bring rates down at a slower pace. Because the Fed’s benchmark rate influences lending costs for mortgages, cars, and credit Read more
Great Greenbacks: Why the U.S. Dollar Dominates Reserve Currency
A reserve currency is held by a nation’s central banks in significant quantities and widely used to conduct international trade and financial proceedings, thus eliminating the costs of settling transactions involving different currencies. Any reserve currency must be easily convertible and have a stable value. The factors that determine the usage of a country’s currency Read more
Against the Wind: Headwinds Could Change the Course of the Economy
Throughout 2023, the U.S. economy has stayed resilient in the face of rapid monetary policy tightening; consumer demand has stayed solid, and the labor market has remained unflinching. Gross domestic product (GDP), adjusted for inflation, rose at a 2.4% annual rate in the second quarter, up from a 2% growth rate in the first three Read more
Crosscurrents: Economic Uncertainty
In the first quarter of 2023, the U.S. economy grew by 1.3% on an annualized basis and expanded by less than 0.3% on a quarterly basis. That growth was down from a 2.6% rate in the last three months of 2022, but nonetheless represented a third straight quarter of growth after output contracted in the Read more