Whether it’s the volatility in the stock market, concerns about tariff-induced inflation, the fluctuation in interest rates, or the growing talk of recession (and stagflation), the economic outlook in April was more fluid and less predictable day-to-day, and that seems unlikely to change any time soon. Even though the Trump administration has suspended its country-by-country Read more
Economic Outlook
What’s Next? Entering a New Phase of Uncertainty
Even the most cursory glance at the headlines will make it clear that we are living in a time of heightened political, economic, and cultural upheaval, with tectonic shifts that make it just that much more difficult than usual to see where it is all heading. In the markets, uncertainty refers to a situation in which the Read more
What Do You Know About Current Economic Trends? Take Our Quiz
Given this is an election year, chances are you have heard a lot of economic figures thrown around. (Some are even true.) While it’s always a good idea to keep up with the economic trends, there is a lot of data out there and it might be difficult for you to keep track. (It’s OK, Read more
A Shear Guessing Game: Will the Fed Cut Rates?
The Federal Reserve’s battle against inflation had gone better than expected until it recently got bogged down. Thus, the effort to combat inflation can’t be called a victory just yet. Though the initial predictions for Fed rate cuts for 2024 ranged from three to six, expectations have shifted dramatically with the market now pricing in Read more
When Not If: Economic Data and The Fed’s Rate Cut(s)
The Federal Reserve increased rate in 2022 and 2023 as the central bank sought to contain surging inflation. Now, in 2024, with price pressures easing and the economy still strong, Fed officials are poised to bring rates down at a slower pace. Because the Fed’s benchmark rate influences lending costs for mortgages, cars, and credit Read more
Against the Wind: Headwinds Could Change the Course of the Economy
Throughout 2023, the U.S. economy has stayed resilient in the face of rapid monetary policy tightening; consumer demand has stayed solid, and the labor market has remained unflinching. Gross domestic product (GDP), adjusted for inflation, rose at a 2.4% annual rate in the second quarter, up from a 2% growth rate in the first three Read more